53 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
752 -62 Strength Momentum |
722 49.5(32) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Hatch | 0.000 | 665 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-1) | 720 | 57% | |
08/22/15 | Grants | 561 | F -1- 1 | Forfeit +2 | --- | 73% | ||
08/22/15 | at Socorro | 0.000 | 1158 | L 1-10 | Expected (-5) | 503 | 12% | |
08/25/15 | East Mountain !! | 0.000 | 952 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 891 | 30% | |
09/05/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.002 | 576 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 726 | 67% | |
09/12/15 | Taos ? | 0.005 | 816 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-3) | 622 | 45% | |
09/14/15 | at Capital | 0.010 | 1074 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 875 | 17% | |
09/15/15 | at Hatch | 0.010 | 665 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 820 | 57% | |
09/21/15 | St. Michael's | 0.011 | 1262 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 691 | 9% | |
09/24/15 | Bosque | 0.035 | 1185 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 807 | 13% | |
09/26/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.038 | 722 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+4) | 950 | 51% | |
09/28/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.080 | 612 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 694 | 64% | |
09/29/15 | at Santa Fe Indian ! | 0.078 | 762 | W 4- 2 | Better (+2) | 869 | 46% | |
10/03/15 | Santa Fe Prep ?? | 0.137 | 722 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 675 | 56% | |
10/08/15 | ATC | 0.233 | 442 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 685 | 83% | |
10/14/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.052 | 1262 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 499 | 7% | |
10/16/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.439 | 762 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 819 | 46% | |
10/19/15 | at ATC | 0.344 | 442 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 810 | 79% | |
10/21/15 | Desert Academy | 0.633 | 612 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 720 | 69% | |
10/31/15 | at Robertson | 0.870 | 615 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 745 | 63% | |
11/05/15 | * Hope Christian | 0.507 | 1392 | L 0- 6 | Expected (+1) | 780 | 3% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Monte del Sol actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 722, while
Monte del Sol's "weighted playing strength" is 756
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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